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0302150323
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DETROIT FREE PRESS
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<DATE>
030216
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Sunday, February 16, 2003
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<EDITION>
METRO FINAL
</EDITION>
<SECTION>
COM; CHOICES
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1K
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<BYLINE>
MITCH ALBOM FREE PRESS COLUMNIST
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<COPYRIGHT>
Copyright (c) 2003, Detroit Free Press
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<HEADLINE>
WINNING WAR WON'T BE OUR HARDEST TASK
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Try to imagine America defeated by a foreign power -- Russia, let's say -- and
then Russia assigning one of its generals to run the United States, "just for
a while."

"Just for a while" meaning two to 10 years.

Your child grows up with a Russian general running America. How would you deal
with that?

Not well, right? So it's hard to imagine the average Iraqi taking a shine to
our plan to install a U.S. general, most likely Tommy Franks, to rule Iraq
after we defeat it. Let's be honest. Someone named Tommy running Iraq is about
as palatable to Iraqis as a Mohammed in the Oval Office is to us.

What the "let's-get-'em!" folks in this country don't understand about our
upcoming war -- and it is coming -- is that winning would be least of it. It's
in winning that the real problems could begin.

"The honeymoon would be over very quickly," predicted Laith Kubba, cofounder
of the exiled Iraqi National Congress. "You'd soon have a Million Man March in
Baghdad demanding the U.S. leader leave."



The role of bin Laden

Did you hear the latest Osama bin Laden tape? He exhorts Muslims everywhere --
including Iraq -- to kill us. And what does he use as a rallying cry? Israel.
He refers to "Tel Aviv and Washington" as one and the same. Why? Because he
knows the hottest fuse in the Arab world is the idea that Jews have "occupied"
Arab lands. It is the one constant that boils the blood of not only zealous
Islamists but moderates, too.

Well. If the very mention of Israel can unify bin Laden's followers and open
floodgates to new recruits, how do the think America's ruling Iraq is going to
go over? We might as well print his brochures.

"Look," he will tell his followers, "this is the true aim of America -- to
invade and conquer Muslims. Join me -- or you're next."

We know it's not true, but so what? It's gasoline on an already raging fire.
Al Qaeda will swell. And let's not forget who our biggest enemy is here. All
this talk about Saddam Hussein's evil potential is one thing, but we are not
in Code Orange because of Saddam Hussein. We're in Code Orange because of Al
Qaeda.

We're in Code Orange because Al Qaeda maniacs are here, among us, hiding in a
country they hate. Iraqis don't want to die. Al Qaeda members do.

And the more we increase their ranks, the more danger America is in.



The role of Muslims

This is why what happens after we beat up Iraq is critical and why a UN-backed
control is probably essential. Those who say, "Who cares? They hate us
anyway," are being shortsighted. There are still many Muslims who do not
approve of bin Laden. They may be our most precious asset.

Muslims won't listen to Americans telling them what's good for them, but they
will listen to other Muslims. The more places like Turkey, a Muslim country
slowly budding with democracy, can serve as a model, the better off we are.

Iraq can one day be that, too -- once it loses the madman at the top. But if
an American -- an American military officer at that -- replaces Hussein, any
progress we make would be clouded by hate. Look at Israel. Does it matter that
Arabs live better there than they do in many Arab countries? Has that stopped
the violence?

Even Gen. Douglas MacArthur, in rebuilding Japan, kept the emperor on the
throne and worked through him. And the Japanese are quite different from the
Iraqis.

So here's the thing. When good, smart Americans call for patience and UN
support in this war, they are not being cowardly, weak or ultraliberal. On the
contrary. They know the problem doesn't end the day Saddam Hussein goes away
-- that, in fact, a bigger problem will then begin. By calling for caution,
they are not being dovish. They are being militant: They are watching out for
the long-term safety of America, this land, this people. You know what they
call that? Patriotism.



Contact MITCH ALBOM at 313-223-4581 or  albom@freepress.com. "The Mitch Albom
Show" is 3-6 weekdays on WJR-AM (760).
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